Climate change and energy transition as drivers of change

The unavoidable warming and potential substantial departures from prevailing global weather patterns associated with climate change are likely to be major drivers of migration, agriculture, and international trade. The transformation of the energy system necessary to reduce emissions to levels consistent with a stable climate have direct and potentially powerful implications for the nature of infrastructure investment, agriculture, and trade. Infrastructure is directly implicated in terms of power sector investment, and transportation infrastructure investment has direct implications for energy consumption patterns and efficiency of energy use.

This Work Stream will shed light upon the nexus of climate change, infrastructure, migration, agriculture, trade, and energy. Climate change and energy transitions will serve as principal drivers of the research within this framework while exploring the linkages to infrastructure migration, agriculture, and trade. Concretely, the Work Stream will seek to contribute to:

  • South African and regional climate change adaptation policies
  • Energy policies and programmes — including national energy generation build plans and associated transmission infrastructure as well as regional approaches to meeting energy needs
  • The ongoing land reform programme in South Africa
  • The understanding of the implications of migration — with an initial emphasis on regional migration — for economic outcomes


 

Working paper
Channing Arndt, Rob Davies, and James Thurlow
South Africa faces many challenges, including modest economic growth and negative structural change, as well as high unemployment and inequality, and...
27 March 2019
macroeconomics
climate
Journal Article
SA-TIED Working Paper #40
by Aumashvini Gobin, Debbie Sparks, John Okedi, Neil Armitage, and Fadiel Ahjum
South Africa has been facing significant challenges in meeting demands in its water and energy sectors in recent years and planning for both sectors...
26 March 2019
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper #29
by Bryce McCall, Jesse Burton, Andrew Marquard, Faaiqa Hartley, Fadiel Ahjum, Gregory Ireland, and Bruno Merven
This study provides a technical analysis of South Africa’s electricity future. We use the South African TIMES model and e-SAGE, which have been...
22 March 2019
climate
Technical workshop
Within the framework of Southern Africa — Towards Inclusive Economic Development, the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) is initi
18 February 2019
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 26
by Faaiqa Hartley, Bruno Merven, Channing Arndt, and Gregory Ireland
This paper assesses the economic impacts of increased variable renewable energy deployment in South Africa for both conservative and optimistic solar...
17 January 2019
climate
Academic presentation
Join Professor Michael Lipton and the Southern Center for Inequality Studies (SCIS) for a brown-bag lunch discussion on inequality and land reform.
18 July 2018
climate
Academic presentation
The distribution of farmland in South Africa is an important issue with implications for the national policy goals of the National Development Plan
18 July 2018
climate
Working paper
By Bruno Merven, Gregory Ireland, Faaiqa Hartley, Channing Arndt, Alison Hughes, Fadiel Ahjum, Bryce McCall, and Tara Caetano
This paper lays the foundation for the analysis of the macro- and socio-economic benefits of a transition in the power sector to be made using a...
20 June 2018
macroeconomics
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 18
By Eustensia Munsaka
This study determines the extent to which broker opportunism (using the hidden commission charged by brokers as a proxy for opportunistic behaviour)...
15 June 2018
climate
Working paper
by Mmamoletji Oniccah Thosago
The aim of this study is to investigate whether households in an informal settlement, who receive one or more social grants, save a portion of their...
28 May 2018
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 16
by Charlotte-Kathrin Stollberg
The recent PIRLS report painted a dire picture of South Africa’s literacy: 80% of Grade 4 learners are unable to read for meaning. With a large body...
28 May 2018
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 15
by Nobuhle D. Mbonane and M.N. Makhura
Crop insurance is a sustainable risk management tool that farmers need for increasing the sustainability of their agricultural enterprises by...
28 May 2018
climate