Blog
Meet the women behind the Southern Africa – Towards Inclusive Economic Development programme
by Anne Tomi

Globally, women are under-represented in the field of economics. Only a third of all academic research staff in the field of economics in Europe are women. In the US the share is even lower.

12 March 2020
Journal Article
Photo by Jonas Jacobsson on Unsplash
Ludvig Wier

This paper provides the first direct systematic evidence of profit shifting through transfer mispricing in a developing country.

05 August 2020
enterprise_development
Blog
Photo by Scott Rodgerson on Unsplash
Ludvig Wier

Corporate taxation is at the heart of economic development, and cardiac failure looms if international tax reform is not made globally inclusive

05 August 2020
enterprise_development
Policy Brief
Harri Kemp and Hylton Hollander

Much of the research on the impact of fiscal policy shocks on macroeconomic outcomes (e.g., fiscal multipliers) uses reduced-form modelling approaches such as vector auto-regressions to obtain empirical results. In a recent study1, we used this approach to estimate fiscal multipliers for South Africa. Here, we use a different approach to...

30 July 2020
macroeconomics
Technical workshop

SA-TIED will hold a 5-day online training course on using the data analysis software, R. 

The course will build capacity and support South African officials to manage and use economic data to carry out policy-relevant research in their day-to-day work for evidence-based policymaking.  

29 July 2020
inequality
In the media

A stringent lockdown in South Africa came into effect on 26 March 2020 and shut down most sectors of the economy.

29 July 2020
macroeconomics
climate
Policy Brief
Harri Kemp and Hylton Hollander

Estimated spending multipliers for real GDP (output) are typically positive, but less than one, whereas estimated tax multipliers are negative and can be much higher than one

23 July 2020
macroeconomics
Working paper
Johannes Hermanus Kemp and Hylton Hollander

Much of the research on fiscal multipliers has used reduced form modelling approaches. While these models have been extended to include richer controls and identification approaches, it remains unclear whether shocks identified capture the true structural shocks.

10 July 2020
macroeconomics
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 127
Johannes Hermanus Kemp

Despite the frequent use of fiscal policy for stabilization purposes and the important role fiscal activism has played over the last decade, the size of budgetary multipliers (i.e.

10 July 2020
macroeconomics
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 126
Takwanisa Machemedze, Andrew Kerr, and Rob Dorrington

The existing sources of demographic data for South Africa have different strengths and limitations that make them inadequate for calibration of sample weights in post-apartheid South African household surveys. The official mid-year population estimates produced by Statistics South Africa do not cover the entire period, the previously used...

10 July 2020
inequality
Working paper
Teboho Bosiu and Thando Vilakazi

The growth of African multinational companies in Southern and East Africa in recent decades brings with it a great opportunity for development of productive capacity in the region and greater regional integration.

09 July 2020
regional_growth
Working paper
Serena Merrino

This paper aims at providing new evidence over the effect of conventional monetary policy shocks on wage inequality through the earnings heterogeneity channel under the inflation-targeting regime implemented in South Africa since 2000.

09 July 2020
macroeconomics
Working paper
Anthea Paelo and Genna Robb

This paper reviews comparative approaches to key issues in economic regulation in four countries of the Southern African Development Community, and how this has been reflected in outcomes in terms of competition, prices, access, and innovation in telecommunications services.

09 July 2020
regional_growth
Working paper
Genna Robb and Anthea Paelo

Low levels of broadband penetration combined with poor quality of services present a challenge to growth and development in the Southern African Development Community (SADC). This paper performs a comparative analysis of the competitive dynamics of telecommunications markets in four SADC countries and relates this to outcomes for consumers.

09 July 2020
regional_growth
Working paper
Bruno Merven, Faaiqa Hartley, Jules Schers and Fadiel Ahjum

This paper presents an alternative methodology to modelling private transport in the hard-linked energy-economic model, SATIMGE. The methodology considers a shift from total fuel consumption in the economic model to end-use energy consumption for the private transport sector.

09 July 2020
climate
Working paper
Aalia Cassim

Attempts to regulate the temporary employment sector have had mixed results internationally. In South Africa, temporary employment was regulated in 2015 through amendments to the Labour Relations Act.

09 July 2020
enterprise_development
Working paper
Neryvia Pillay Bell

The author applies the bunching methodology to South African administrative tax data over the period from 2011 to 2017 to investigate the responsiveness of individual taxpayers to changes in marginal personal income tax rates. She finds significant evidence of bunching among the self-employed but no evidence of bunching among wage earners.

09 July 2020
public_revenue
Technical workshop

3-day training workshop including short lectures and practical computer based training

01 July 2020
inequality
Blog
Channing Arndt and Sherman Robinson

In trying to limit the spread of COVID-19, policymakers globally have the difficult task of balancing the positive health effects of lockdowns against their economic costs, particularly the burdens lockdowns impose on low-income and food-insecure households.

24 June 2020
climate
Technical note
SA-TIED Technical Note 1: Modelling the effects of COVID-19 on the South African economy - a technical guide to the scenario builder
Rob Davies and Dirk van Seventer

There is a demand for quick studies evaluating the economic impact of the lockdowns used by many governments to deal with the COVID-19 pandemic. Multiplier analysis is an appropriate method for examining the impacts of the lockdowns, particularly in the short run when both prices and technology are relatively fixed.

14 May 2020
macroeconomics
News

Young people are at the forefront of efforts to bring about change in society. They are passionate about and committed to actions which will improve their livelihoods and those of future generations in Africa.

For any action to be effective and sustainable it must be backed by evidence-based research and effective policies.

16 June 2020
Working paper
Richard Adu-Gyamfi, Simplice A. Asongu, Tinaye Sonto Mmusi, Herbert Wamalwa, and Madei Mangori

The objective of this research is to assess the extent to which export processing zones in Botswana, Kenya, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe integrate the Sustainable Development Goals in their implementation and operations. We focused on four Sustainable Development Goals—gender equality, decent work, industry, and climate action.

01 June 2020
regional_growth
Working paper
Joan Halstein
This paper explores how Southern Africa can leverage its mineral resources to support growth and industrialization. It considers the aggregate and spatial effects of transport infrastructure improvements, and the relative benefits of financing these investments through resource sector concessions versus government expenditure.
01 June 2020
regional_growth
Working paper
Andrew Kerr

The IRP5 and IT3(a) tax data from the South African Revenue Service have been made available to researchers through a joint project between the South African Revenue Service, the National Treasury, and UNU-WIDER.

01 June 2020
inequality
Working paper
Cornelius Dube, Wellington Matsika, and Gamuchirai Chiwunze

Special economic zones (SEZs) in Africa are generally regarded as underperforming relative to their peers in the rest of the world. This study focuses on the design features of the SEZ in Africa that may help explain this underperformance.

01 June 2020
regional_growth
Working paper
Mustapha Douch
The principal contribution of this paper is to investigate the relationship between policy uncertainty, caused by recent developments in international markets, and firms’ trade margins for the largest economy in Africa: South Africa.
01 June 2020
regional_growth
Working paper
Jacomien Van Der Merwe and Stephan Krygsman

The purpose of this research is to investigate whether transport accessibility influences the employment duration of individuals in South Africa.

01 June 2020
inequality
Working paper
Ihsaan Bassier and Ingrid Woolard

Despite South Africa’s need for inclusive economic growth, we find that the income trajectories of the rich continue to diverge from the rest of the income distribution.

01 June 2020
inequality
Research Brief
by Alfred Moyo

Analysis of World Bank data ranging from 1990–2017 indicates that increases in global oil prices would have negative effects on the economic growth of SADC, especially Mozambique, Tanzania, Zambia, and Mauritius. Given the high reliance of Southern African countries on crude oil imports, barrel price increases in the global market can...

20 May 2020
regional_growth
Working paper
Impact of Covid-19 on the South African economy - An initial analysis
Channing Arndt, Rob Davies, Sherwin Gabriel, Laurence Harris, Konstantin Makrelov, Boipuso Modise, Sherman Robinson, Witness Simbanegavi, Dirk van Seventer, and Lillian Anderson

This paper reports ‘first pass’ estimates of the costs of the lock-down implemented by the South African government beginning on 27 March 2020. It also presents a series of recovery scenarios. Four channels by which a lockdown and other efforts are expected to influence economic activity are distinguished. In total, these lockdown measures have...

30 April 2020
macroeconomics
climate
Working paper
Deciphering the biodiversity-production mutualism in the global food security debate
Ralf Seppelt, Channing Arndt, Michael Beckmann, Emily A. Martin, and Tom Hertel

Without large changes in consumption as well as sharp reductions of food waste and post-harvest losses, agricultural production must grow to meet future food demands. The variety of concepts and policies relating to yield increases fail to integrate an important constituent of production and human nutrition – namely biodiversity. We here...

30 April 2020
climate