Working paper
Bruno Merven, Faaiqa Hartley, Bryce McCall, Jesse Burton, and Jules Schers
In this paper, the energy and economic models used in the linked modelling approach for South Africa are further refined such that (i) links between coal mines and markets are included; (ii) economic and energy...
October 2019
Climate and energy
Working paper
Anmar Pretorius, Carli Bezuidenhout, Marianne Matthee, and Derick Blaauw
In South Africa, the manufacturing sector—important for growth and employment creation—has shown declining growth, poor productivity performance, decreased labour demand, and increased imports of intermediate goods (offshoring activities). Offshoring influences jobs and wages differently depending...
October 2019
Enterprise development
Working paper
Michael Nassen Smith, Carilee Osborne, Zunaid Moola, and Ben Turok
We examine the extent to which two of Africa’s leading gold mining economies, Ghana and Tanzania, have adopted transformative local procurement policies to enhance backward linkages from the minerals sector. We assess the impact that...
November, 2019
Phase 1 regional growth
Journal article
By Konstantin Makrelov, Channing Arndt, Rob Davies, and Laurence Harris
We analyse implications of financial sector dynamics for fiscal expenditure multipliers in recessionary conditions. A new stock-flow consistent model is developed in which a financial sector with four financial instruments is integrated with the real...
September 2019
Macro-fiscal analysis
Working paper
by Joseph L. Mawasha, Marnus Gouse, and Tracy Davids
This study seeks to quantify South Africa's maize export potential to non-GM maize markets with the aim of establishing whether there are opportunities for non-GM maize production expansion as well as economic benefits for farmers...
October 2019
Climate and energy
Working paper
by Karishma Banga and Neil Balchin
This study explores the potential for South Africa to become an engine for intraregional trade and industrial development by linking other Southern African countries to its global value chains and, in the process, improving its...
October 2019
Phase 1 regional growth
Working paper
by Dirk van Seventer and Rob Davies
Examining the economy-wide consequences of South Africa following a similar trajectory of labour market polarization to the rest of the world requires an appropriate database for an economy-wide policy analysis framework. This paper describes how...
September 2019
Macro-fiscal analysis
Journal article
by Channing Arndt, Doug Arent, Faaiqa Hartley, Bruno Merven, and Alam Hossain Mondal
Since 2007, large and unexpected declines in generation costs for renewable energy systems, particularly solar but also wind, combined with policy measures designed to limit greenhouse gas emissions, have created a paradigm shift in energy...
July 2019
Climate and energy