Blog

Policymakers often work in the dark, as they try to make real impact on people’s lives. If you don’t have good data, being worked on by good researchers, it can be hard to know whether efforts are truly making a difference. In South Africa one key area where data...

29 March 2017
By James Stewart
public_revenue
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 22/2018
by Stewart Ngandu and Carolyn Chisadza

This paper uses administrative tax data in South Africa to answer questions about which types of firms employ relatively large numbers of young people. The policy objective of this exercise is to use these insights to inform policy and programming for the mitigation of high levels of youth unemployment. This research uses an exploratory...

07 August 2018
enterprise_development
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 21/2018
by Mulalo Mamburu

This paper examines the distribution of firms by size and growth in the South African economy. It explores the relationship between firm size and firm growth over time, with a particular focus on the highest and lowest growth firms in the distribution, in order to aid policymakers in crucial questions about how to target public policies...

25 July 2018
enterprise_development
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 20/2018
By Manqoba Ntshakala and Laurence Harris

This study contributes to the existing body of knowledge within the South African context by empirically examining the ability of the yield spread to provide information about future inflation. Additionally, we examine the effect of the monetary policy regime shift associated with the adoption of inflation targeting on the relationship between...

27 June 2018
macroeconomics
Presentation

The Young Scholars Programme is targeted towards South African Master's-level students working on the research component of their degree.

20 June 2018
enterprise_development
public_revenue
macroeconomics
inequality
climate
regional_growth
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 19/2018
By Bruno Merven, Gregory Ireland, Faaiqa Hartley, Channing Arndt, Alison Hughes, Fadiel Ahjum, Bryce McCall, and Tara Caetano

This paper lays the foundation for the analysis of the macro- and socio-economic benefits of a transition in the power sector to be made using a linked energy-economy modelling framework called SATIMGE. SATIMGE is made up of an energy systems model, SATIM (South African TIMES Model), and a general computable equilibrium model of South Africa....

20 June 2018
macroeconomics
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 18/2018
By Eustensia Munsaka

This study determines the extent to which broker opportunism (using the hidden commission charged by brokers as a proxy for opportunistic behaviour) in the tomato supply chain in Zambia is reduced by farmers’ access to price information through an information system.

15 June 2018
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 17/2018
By Mmamoletji Oniccah Thosago

The aim of this study is to investigate whether households in an informal settlement, who receive one or more social grants, save a portion of their income, and what their savings behaviour is. Out of the 215, 150 households save some of their income but mostly in burial societies and stokvels.

28 May 2018
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 16/2018
By Charlotte-Kathrin Stollberg

The recent PIRLS report painted a dire picture of South Africa’s literacy: 80% of Grade 4 learners are unable to read for meaning. With a large body of research confirming how reading literacy holds predictive validity for later child development and academic success, Shine Literacy offers an intervention that is set as a measure for those who...

28 May 2018
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 15/2018
By Nobuhle D. Mbonane and M.N. Makhura

Crop insurance is a sustainable risk management tool that farmers need for increasing the sustainability of their agricultural enterprises by reducing income risks. This paper reports on factors influencing farmers’ interest in purchasing crop insurance.

28 May 2018
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 14/2018
By Lauralyn Kaziboni

This paper analyses responses from the City of Johannesburg survey on economic performance, competitiveness and the challenges faced, from over 300 firms. The study suggests that that a significant proportion of firms exhibited growth between 2013 and 2015, depending on sectoral grouping, access to the export market and investment in machinery...

28 May 2018
macroeconomics
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 13/2018
By Anna Filipova and Mike Morris

The falling cost of renewable energy technologies globally is a key driver of the implementation of smallscale embedded generation in South Africa as an alternative to electricity from the national grid. The technology has disruptive potential for the vertically integrated and centralised electricity value chain, dominated by Eskom.

28 May 2018
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 12/2018
By Sam Filby

This paper describes South Africa’s implementation of Article 6 of the World Health Organization’s Framework Convention on Tobacco Control, price and tax measures to reduce the demand for tobacco. The current status of implementation was measured using indicators derived from the FCTC reporting instrument, with South Africa showing 68%...

28 May 2018
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 11/2018
By Xolela Dlikilili and Johan van Rooyen

This paper analyses the competitive trends of the South African citrus industry, making use of the relative trade advantage model to calculate such competitive trends over time. The data to measure competitive performance was obtained from the Food and Agricultural Organization and the International Trade Centre.

28 May 2018
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 10/2018
By Michael Ross Bowerbank Day

This study estimates the policy distortions faced by agricultural producers. In addition to an aggregate distortion estimation, a disaggregated approach to measuring distortions to individual agents’ incentives in a vertical value chain is seminally applied in the South African context, using the wheat industry as a case study.

28 May 2018
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 9/2018
By Teboho Bosiu

According to the macroeconomic theory of aggregate demand, low real interest rates imply a low cost of borrowing for firms, which encourages them to increase the level of investment in the economy, and thus improve the aggregate demand. The financial sector plays a major role in ensuring that resources are efficiently transferred from surplus...

28 May 2018
macroeconomics
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 8/2018
by Aalia Cassim and Daniela Casale

This paper makes use of the administrative panel data for the years 2011 to 2015 to explore whether there is a wage penalty for employees in the labour broker sector, examining both the base wage (the salary less contributions to medical aid, unemployment insurance, pension, etc.) and the total income received from a company. Although the data...

14 May 2018
enterprise_development
Project workshop

On 4 April, a workshop centring on the main principles of macroeconomies takes place at the National Treasury of South Africa. The event focuses on current, international discussions on modern macroeconomic models, including their strengths and weaknesses, alongside their applicability in the South African context.

24 April 2018
climate
Presentation

The distribution of farmland in South Africa is an important issue with implications for the national policy goals of the National Development Plan: 2030 for both democratic and equitable land allocation and raising farmland productivity for a food-secure future.

18 July 2018
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 7/2018
By Shannon Bold and Laurence Harris

This study examines the operation of monetary policy using quarterly data from 1994 through 2015 and the sub-period covering 2002–15, when monetary policy was formally defined by inflation targeting. The principal research question we address is the extent to which the monetary policy instrument, the South African Reserve Bank’s (SARB) repo...

24 April 2018
macroeconomics
Presentation

A presentation by Nzinga H. Broussard discusses the effects that immigration has had on labour market outcomes of native-born black South Africans using South African census data from 2001, 2007, and 2011.

20 April 2018
climate
Request for research proposals
Request for research proposals – Firm-level analysisRegional growth and development for southern Africa’s prosperity

UNU-WIDER, the National Treasury of the Republic of South Africa (NT), and the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) invite proposals from qualified researchers for high quality economic and/or political economy analysis in any of the five focus areas set out in the Background section. Submission deadline is 25 May 2018 23:59 UTC+3.

19 April 2018
regional_growth
Presentation

Join Professor Michael Lipton and the Southern Center for Inequality Studies (SCIS) for a brown-bag lunch discussion on inequality and land reform.

18 July 2018
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 6/2018
By C. Arndt, F. Hartley, G. Ireland, K. Mahrt, B. Merven, and J. Wright

This paper seeks to synthesize a wide variety of work assessing the future of VRE and their potential for revolutionizing electricity generation, particularly in developing countries. As VRE technology matures and costs fall, focus shifts from installation costs to integration costs and institutional barriers of adopting VRE electricity...

10 April 2018
climate
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 5/2018
by Andre Steenkamp, Mark Schaffer, Wayde Flowerday, and John Gabriel Goddard

This paper aims to enhance our understanding of the dynamics of innovation practice and technology absorption in South Africa at the firm level by estimating the returns to R&D expenditure in the manufacturing sector. This research is novel in that it is one of the first papers to measure the returns to R&D using firm-level data in a...

09 March 2018
enterprise_development
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 4/2018
by Angelika Goliger and Aalia Cassim

Since the start of sharp electricity tariff increases in 2008, South African household demand for electricity has not been significantly affected. However, the combination of economic realities and ongoing electricity tariff increases will eventually compel households to reduce their electricity usage. This research explores the ability of...

08 March 2018
enterprise_development
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 3/2018
by Angelika Goliger and Landon McMillan

While much research has been done on the economic impacts of load-shedding in South Africa, fewer studies have focused on the effects of the rapidly rising electricity tariffs. The issue of tariff increases has now become even more critical, with technological developments making it easier and cheaper for consumers to reduce their demand for...

05 March 2018
enterprise_development
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 2/2018
By Konstantin Makrelov, Channing Arndt, Rob Davies, and Laurence Harris

This paper presents a financial-real stock-and-flow-consistent model of the South African economy. The model dynamics build on the simple computable general equilibrium (CGE) model developed by Devarajan and Go (1998) and incorporate elements of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models and stock-and-flow models in the tradition of...

27 February 2018
macroeconomics
Working paper
SA-TIED Working Paper 1/2018
By Konstantin Makrelov, Channing Arndt, Rob Davies, and Laurence Harris

We analyse implications of financial sector dynamics for fiscal expenditure multipliers in recessionary conditions. We employ a stock-and-flow-consistent model for South Africa with four financial instruments and detailed balance sheets for the household, government, financial, non-financial, and foreign sectors, and the Reserve Bank.

26 February 2018
macroeconomics
Blog
SDG 17: Partnerships for the goals
By Kyle McNabb

At the core of efforts to meet the Sustainable Development Goals lies a commitment to enhance domestic revenue mobilization. Strengthening capacity to collect tax and other revenue is key for developing countries as they move forward. Not only is this priority enshrined in SDG 17.1, it also sits atop the Addis Ababa Action Agenda.

27 July 2017
enterprise_development
public_revenue
macroeconomics
inequality
climate
regional_growth
Blog
© FAOALC
By Tamara Paremoer and Simon Roberts

In 2016 the South African poultry sector faced intense pressure from two sides in the form of much higher input costs and increased imports of low-priced chicken from the European Union and the USA. Poultry firms have called for increased protection against imports. Instead of taking a short-term view, we argue that the current crisis...

28 March 2017