Climate change and energy transition as drivers of change

The unavoidable warming and potential substantial departures from prevailing global weather patterns associated with climate change are likely to be major drivers of migration, agriculture, and international trade. The transformation of the energy system necessary to reduce emissions to levels consistent with a stable climate have direct and potentially powerful implications for the nature of infrastructure investment, agriculture, and trade. Infrastructure is directly implicated in terms of power sector investment, and transportation infrastructure investment has direct implications for energy consumption patterns and efficiency of energy use.

This Work Stream will shed light upon the nexus of climate change, infrastructure, migration, agriculture, trade, and energy. Climate change and energy transitions will serve as principal drivers of the research within this framework while exploring the linkages to infrastructure migration, agriculture, and trade. Concretely, the Work Stream will seek to contribute to:

  • South African and regional climate change adaptation policies
  • Energy policies and programmes — including national energy generation build plans and associated transmission infrastructure as well as regional approaches to meeting energy needs
  • The ongoing land reform programme in South Africa
  • The understanding of the implications of migration — with an initial emphasis on regional migration — for economic outcomes


 

Working paper
Modelling the costs of constraining the transition to renewable energy in South Africa
Bruno Merven, Faaiqa Hartley, Sherman Robinson and Channing Arndt
For decades cheaper and easily available fossil fuels have underpinned the energy system of South Africa and inhibited the potential for achieving a...
25 March 2020
climate
Working paper
The changing nature of hydroclimatic risks across Southern Africa
C. Adam Schlosser, Andrei Sokolov, Ken Strzepek, Tim Thomas, Xiang Gao, and Channing Arndt
This study presents results from a large ensemble of projected changes in seasonal precipitation and near-surface air temperature changes for the...
25 March 2020
climate
Working paper
Long term modelling of household demand and its implications for energy planning
Bruno Merven, Faaiqa Hartley and Jules Schers
This paper proposes an alternative method for modelling long term changes in household consumption in computable general equilibrium models. The...
20 March 2020
climate
Working paper
Global land reform experiences: A review for South Africa
Rob Davies, Katrina Kosec, Ephraim Nkonya, and Jie Song
This paper reviews land reform in six emerging market economies with some similarities to South Africa, and in sub-Saharan African countries, which...
20 March 2020
climate
Working paper
South African agricultural productivity in the global context: Comparisons using FAO data
Channing Arndt and Alejandro Nin Pratt
This paper seeks to address the following questions: (a) How productive is South Africa’s agricultural sector? (b) How does it compare to other...
20 March 2020
climate
Conference
SA-TIED held a two-day conference on ‘Inclusive and Sustainable Economic Development – Envisioning Wealth for All’ at the Bingu International Confe
19 March 2020
climate
Working paper
Climate change and developing country growth: the cases of Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia
Channing Arndt, Paul Chinowsky, Charles Fant, Sergey Paltsev, C. Adam Schlosser, Kenneth Strzepek, Finn Tarp, and James Thurlow
We consider the interplay of climate change impacts, global mitigation policies, and the economic interests of developing countries to 2050. Focusing...
19 March 2020
climate
Request for research proposals
Request for research proposals - Migration and South Africa
by SA-TIED
United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER), together with its partners, now invites research proposals...
19 February 2020
climate
In the media
SA-TIED researcher Faaiqa Hartley interviewed by Knowable Magazine
by SA-TIED
Economist, and researcher under the work stream on climate change and energy, Faaiqa Hartley was interviewed by Knowable Magazine on her recent SA-...
28 January 2020
climate
Technical workshop
SA-TIED held a two-day technical workshop on climate change.
13 January 2020
climate
In the media
by SA-TIED
Channing Arndt, an expert in our SA-TIED programme and divisional Director of Environmental and Production Technology at the International Food Pol
16 December 2019
climate
In the media
In speech to parliament, Finance Minister praises SA-TIED
by SA-TIED
During a speech to parliament on Tuesday, South Africa’s Finance Minister, Tito Mboweni, discussed the important work being carried out by the...
12 December 2019
enterprise_development
public_revenue
macroeconomics
inequality
climate
regional_growth