/climate

Climate change and energy transition as drivers of change

The unavoidable warming and potential substantial departures from prevailing global weather patterns associated with climate change are likely to be major drivers of migration, agriculture, and international trade. The transformation of the energy system necessary to reduce emissions to levels consistent with a stable climate have direct and potentially powerful implications for the nature of infrastructure investment, agriculture, and trade. Infrastructure is directly implicated in terms of power sector investment, and transportation infrastructure investment has direct implications for energy consumption patterns and efficiency of energy use.

This Work Stream will shed light upon the nexus of climate change, infrastructure, migration, agriculture, trade, and energy. Climate change and energy transitions will serve as principal drivers of the research within this framework while exploring the linkages to infrastructure migration, agriculture, and trade. Concretely, the Work Stream will seek to contribute to:

  • South African and regional climate change adaptation policies
  • Energy policies and programmes — including national energy generation build plans and associated transmission infrastructure as well as regional approaches to meeting energy needs
  • The ongoing land reform programme in South Africa
  • The understanding of the implications of migration — with an initial emphasis on regional migration — for economic outcomes


 

Policy Brief
by Leonard le Roux and Johanna Choumert-Nkolo
Modern energy access is an important necessary condition for long-term economic development. This work presents a first analysis of the relationship between rural-urban migration and energy poverty in South Africa, using the National Income Dynamics...
February 2021
Climate and energy
Working paper
Leonard le Roux and Johanna Choumert-Nkolo
Despite recent progress, energy poverty remains pervasive in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). This challenge is generally more severe in rural areas. However, rapid urbanization adds a significant challenge to often under-capacitated urban local authorities that struggle...
February 2021
Climate and energy
Policy Brief
by Faaiqa Hartley, Sherwin Gabriel, James Cullis and Channing Arndt
Climate change poses significant challenges to economic development and welfare. Increased temperature and reduced rainfall are likely to have a negative impact in regions heavily dependent on rainfed agriculture. Wide variations in agricultural value added...
February 2021
Climate and energy
Research seminar
17 Feb 2021 / 16:00 to 17:00
Climate and energy
On 17 February the SA-TIED programme will host an online seminar on climate change and central banking in South Africa. The presentation will be given by Faaiqa Hartley and Sherwin Gabriel under the SA-TIED project...
Policy Brief
by Channing Arndt, Christopher Loewald, and Konstantin Makrelov
Climate change poses significant risks and challenges. Many of these have implications for price and financial stability and thus fall within the mandates of central banks. These risks and challenges are likely to be more...
February 2021
Climate and energy
Working paper
Faaiqa Hartley, Sherwin Gabriel, James Cullis and Channing Arndt
Climate change poses a serious threat to many countries, particularly to developing countries, which often have large sections of the population without resources to adapt to changes in their environment. One of the key ways...
February 2021
Climate and energy
Policy Brief
by Bruno Merven, Gregory Ireland, Faaiqa Hartley, Channing Arndt, Alison Hughes, Fadiel Ahjum, Bryce McCall, and Tara Caetano
South Africa’s coal resource has historically provided a source of abundant and cheap energy for South Africa and currently supplies most of its primary energy. Given its aging coal power plant fleet, and international commitments...
November 2020
Climate and energy
Policy Brief
by Faaiqa Hartley, Bruno Merven, Channing Arndt, and Gregory Ireland
The global energy system is shifting to cleaner technologies in a bid to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. As part of its climate commitments, South Africa has also pledged to cut emissions. As the power sector...
November 2020
Climate and energy
Working paper
Tatenda Lysias Magodora
The agricultural sector has remained under threat from climate change despite significant efforts to combat this problem. There is evidence of existing climate change impacts on maize production in South Africa. No meta-analysis was done...
October 2020
Climate and energy
Research seminar
25 Nov 2020 / 12:00 to 14:00
Climate and energy
The Energy Systems Research Group, University of Cape Town, invites you to the webinar event to launch of the Climate Transparency Report 2020: South Africa Country Profile on 25 November at 12pm. Raising ambition requires...
Policy Brief
by Bernard Tembo, Hambulo Ngoma, Sydney Sihubwa, Patrick Lupiya, Ignatius Masilokwa, Mulako Kabisa, Mulima Nyambe-Mubanga, and Faaiqa Hartley
The frequency and intensity of extreme weather events is projected to increase in the Southern African region. In Zambia, climate change could negatively impact economic growth, agricultural production, and energy supply. Zambia’s dependence on rainfed...
November 2020
Climate and energy
Working paper
Bernard Tembo, Sydney Sihubwa, Ignatius Masilokwa, Mulima Nyambe-Mubanga
This study uses an integrated approach to analyse the impacts of climate change on Zambia’s electricity supply and general economy, considering two global climate policy scenarios: Unconstrained emissions (UCE), without effective policies to limit emissions...
September 2020
Climate and energy