Working paper
Michael Kilumelume, Bruno Morando, Carol Newman, and John Rand
An often-neglected potential negative consequence of tariffs is the impact they may have on the misallocation of factor inputs. Trade protection can provide space for domestic firms to increase prices and mark-ups, allowing low-productivity firms...
December 2021
Enterprise development
Working paper
Amina Ebrahim, C. Friedrich Kreuser, and Michael Kilumelume
This paper presents version 4.0 of the CIT-IRP5 firm-level panel dataset. Version 4.0 is the latest edition of the firm-level component of the combined administrative data using sources from the South African Revenue Service. We...
December 2021
Enterprise development
Research seminar
30 Nov 2021 / 15:30 to 17:00
On 30 November the SA-TIED programme will host an online seminar on macroeconomic policy in South Africa. This presentation is based on the report Macroeconomic Risks after a Decade of Microeconomic Turbulence, South Africa (2007–2021)...
Report
J.H. Havenga, A. de Bod, Z.P. Simpson, S. Swarts, and I.E. Witthöft
A cornerstone of rail improvement in South Africa is the development of a road-to-rail strategy for both freight and passengers. The report proposes road-to-rail strategies for both freight and passengers to assist identifying key next...
November 2021
News
by SA-TIED
Tomorrow’s SA-TIED online event, What’s needed to transform South Africa’s economy, featuring Dr David Masondo, Deputy Minister of Finance, Boipuso Modise from National Treasury, and Kunal Sen, director of UNU-WIDER, has been postponed until mid-January...
November 2021
Working paper
Maya Goldman, Ihsaan Bassier, Joshua Budlender, Lindi Mzankomo, Ingrid Woolard, and Murray Leibbrandt
We use a fiscal incidence model based on the South African 2014/15 Living Conditions Survey to simulate the poverty reduction impacts of a selection of medium-to-long-term social grant options with the goal of replacing the...
November 2021
Public revenue
Inequality
Policy Brief
by Hylton Hollander
Over the last decade, emerging market economy countries such as South Africa have seen their levels of government debt-to-GDP rise substantially, which has led to much debate around fiscal sustainability and sovereign debt risk. Even...
October 2021
Macro modelling
Working paper
Hylton Hollander
Debt-financed fiscal stimulus programmes directly stimulate aggregate demand through government expenditure or tax cuts, but their effectiveness is highly dependent on direct crowding out of private sector expenditure, spillover effects to the private sector through...
October 2021
Macro modelling
In the media
SA-TIED
In an article on generational wealth in South Africa, News24 references SA-TIED working paper Estimating the distribution of household wealth in South Africa. The article outlines the challenges faced by many South Africans in acquiring...
September 2021
Inequality
Working paper
Neva Makgetla
The COVID-19 pandemic has had severe economic consequences in Southern Africa, resulting in an unprecedented decline in production and employment. Similar policy responses have emerged across the region, centred on temporary and inadequate relief for...
September 2021
Regional growth