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Working paper
In the study, I use the Boone indicator to explore competition dynamics in the South African loan market. Using a standard pooled OLS estimation, I find that competition in the loan market has been improving...
March, 2019
Macro-fiscal analysis
Working paper
This paper sets out to ascertain the appropriateness of the Basel III macro-prudential policy mechanisms as South African (SA) bank distance-to-default (DTD) determinants. Using a hybrid model embedded within a linear dynamic panel-data estimation technique...
March, 2019
Macro-fiscal analysis
Working paper
Various policies are being implemented in Tanzania to expand the agro-processing sector. The study evaluates the role that agro-processing activities can play in industrialization and economic transformation of the Tanzanian economy and the impact of...
March, 2019
Phase 1 regional growth
Working paper
South Africa faces many challenges, including modest economic growth and negative structural change, as well as high unemployment and inequality, and persistent poverty. Urbanization over the last two decades is an additional concern. Migration and...
March, 2019
Macro-fiscal analysis
Working paper
This paper concerns the exploration of the efficiency effects of regional economic integration at the level of each member country. In specific, the question addressed is: does regional economic integration improve the economic efficiency of...
March, 2019
Phase 1 regional growth
Working paper
Regional integration is making steady progress in Africa and a key objective is to improve the prospects for industrialisation by expanding the regional market. The paper draws on a combination of trade data analysis and...
March, 2019
Phase 1 regional growth
Working paper
The paper examines the incidence and employment impacts of the Employment Tax Incentive, a South African wage subsidy system that is targeted at the employers of low-wage youth. The paper uses a triple differences strategy...
March, 2019
Public revenue
Working paper
The availability of anonymized individual tax return data can contribute to a deeper understanding of the drivers behind the high levels of inequality and unemployment in South Africa. In the recent past, researchers have examined...
March, 2019
Public revenue
Working paper
This paper documents the construction of a South African Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) for the year 2015. The SAM is built using a Statistics South Africa (Stats SA, 2018) Supply Table (ST) and Use Table...
March, 2019
Macro-fiscal analysis
Working paper
There is general agreement at present that the Southern African Development Community needs to re-imagine itself and breathe new life into its somewhat moribund structure. The European Union is often presented as the textbook example...
March, 2019
Phase 1 regional growth
Working paper
Longitudinal surveys can give insight into economic mobility, which allows us to understand how markers of (dis)advantage are consequential in determining material conditions in the present, and how these markers structure economic opportunity over time...
March, 2019
Labour market and inequality
Working paper
Differences in the economic lifecycle between countries at different levels of development suggest that there may be differences between sub-populations within countries, particularly where the sub-populations have different levels of income. Given stark inequalities by...
March, 2019
Labour market and inequality
Working paper
More than two decades after the demise of apartheid, policy makers and researchers are interested in the changes in the South African labour market. This paper takes stock of how the relative position of women...
March, 2019
Labour market and inequality
Working paper
Using SAMOD, a tax-benefit model for South Africa, the paper examines the joint distributional impacts of the increase in the VAT rate and increases in benefit amounts that took place in 2018. The results demonstrate...
March, 2019
Public revenue
Working paper
This study provides a technical analysis of South Africa’s electricity future. We use the South African TIMES model and e-SAGE, which have been specifically updated for this analysis through modelling: compliance with air pollution standards...
March, 2019
Climate and energy
Working paper
The problem of debt bias can be tackled through either disincentivizing the use of debt financing or incentivizing the use of equity financing. Considering the South African context—in which many firms are highly leveraged and...
March 2019
Public revenue