Water-Energy-Food in the Context of Climate Change

Even though the bottom half of South African households spend  30–50% of their income on food, one quarter of South African children aged 0-5 are stunted due to malnutrition. This is just one example of how the interaction of the water, food, and energy systems with the economy and the global environment impact people. They sit at the heart of Southern Africa’s current challenges. To complicate this picture, energy and food production are the dominant sources of greenhouse gas emissions in the region.

This work stream will assess this complicated interacting food, energy, and water system nexus to provide potential solutions to regional challenges and combat climate change. This will mean special attention will be paid to opportunities to solve these crises with green investments and renewable energy sources.

A non-sectoral approach

One of the novel aspects of this work stream is that it engages with other work streams to better align food and agriculture policies with employment and social protection policies. This approach differs from a previous understanding that solutions to energy issues, or water issues, could be applied to single sectors. Solutions are better applied, and more relevant to policymakers, holistically —water, energy, malnutrition, and health and wellbeing are all interconnected issues that also impact job creation, the economy, etc.

Advancements in research

Phase I of this work stream saw the development of SATIM-GE, a linked energy–economy-wide model, for the analysis of energy policies. Phase II will build on this success and develop an integrated agriculture/food/water-CGE model for exploring different policy issues in food and agriculture, land reform, and water conservation. These models will facilitate research that can lead to realistic strategies for policy implementation in a context of climate change.

In the media
A stringent lockdown in South Africa came into effect on 26 March 2020 and shut down most sectors of the economy. New SA-TIED research on the impact of COVID-19 on the South African economy estimates...
July 2020
Macro-fiscal analysis
Climate and energy
Working paper
Channing Arndt, Rob Davies, Sherwin Gabriel, Laurence Harris, Konstantin Makrelov, Boipuso Modise, Sherman Robinson, Witness Simbanegavi, Dirk van Seventer, and Lillian Anderson
This paper reports ‘first pass’ estimates of the costs of the lock-down implemented by the South African government beginning on 27 March 2020. It also presents a series of recovery scenarios. Four channels by which...
April 2020
Macro-fiscal analysis
Climate and energy
Working paper
Ralf Seppelt, Channing Arndt, Michael Beckmann, Emily A. Martin, and Tom Hertel
Without large changes in consumption as well as sharp reductions of food waste and post-harvest losses, agricultural production must grow to meet future food demands. The variety of concepts and policies relating to yield increases...
April 2020
Climate and energy
Working paper
Bruno Merven, Faaiqa Hartley, Sherman Robinson and Channing Arndt
For decades cheaper and easily available fossil fuels have underpinned the energy system of South Africa and inhibited the potential for achieving a sustainable low carbon economy. Favourable developments in renewable energy technologies and falling...
March 2020
Climate and energy
Working paper
C. Adam Schlosser, Andrei Sokolov, Ken Strzepek, Tim Thomas, Xiang Gao, and Channing Arndt
This study presents results from a large ensemble of projected changes in seasonal precipitation and near-surface air temperature changes for the nation of South Africa. The ensemble is based on a combination of pattern-change responses...
March 2020
Climate and energy
Working paper
Rob Davies, Katrina Kosec, Ephraim Nkonya, and Jie Song
This paper reviews land reform in six emerging market economies with some similarities to South Africa, and in sub-Saharan African countries, which share a similar colonial history. While care needs to be taken when trying...
March 2020
Climate and energy
Working paper
Channing Arndt, Paul Chinowsky, Charles Fant, Sergey Paltsev, C. Adam Schlosser, Kenneth Strzepek, Finn Tarp, and James Thurlow
We consider the interplay of climate change impacts, global mitigation policies, and the economic interests of developing countries to 2050. Focusing on Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia, we employ a structural approach to biophysical and economic...
March 2020
Climate and energy
In the media
SA-TIED
Economist, and researcher under the work stream on climate change and energy , Faaiqa Hartley was interviewed by Knowable Magazine on her recent SA-TIED working paper Faster than you think: Renewable energy and developing countries...
January 28, 2020
Climate and energy
Working paper
Bruno Merven, Faaiqa Hartley, Bryce McCall, Jesse Burton, and Jules Schers
In this paper, the energy and economic models used in the linked modelling approach for South Africa are further refined such that (i) links between coal mines and markets are included; (ii) economic and energy...
October 2019
Climate and energy
Working paper
by Joseph L. Mawasha, Marnus Gouse, and Tracy Davids
This study seeks to quantify South Africa's maize export potential to non-GM maize markets with the aim of establishing whether there are opportunities for non-GM maize production expansion as well as economic benefits for farmers...
October 2019
Climate and energy
Journal article
by Channing Arndt, Doug Arent, Faaiqa Hartley, Bruno Merven, and Alam Hossain Mondal
Since 2007, large and unexpected declines in generation costs for renewable energy systems, particularly solar but also wind, combined with policy measures designed to limit greenhouse gas emissions, have created a paradigm shift in energy...
July 2019
Climate and energy
Working paper
by Bruno Merven, Faaiqa Hartley, and Fadiel Ahjum
Road freight transport is the key channel for moving goods and services within South Africa, accounting for more than 70% of the total freight payload over the last decade. While not the largest contributor to...
April 2019
Climate and energy